Sharp collapse of dollar: «In a year we wait on 6,5!»
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Thursday, 14 May 2009 17:45 |
The national currency grows stronger not on days, and on hours, experts speak, the dollar will fail in the summer, but then will grow.
The dollar surprises with the prompt falling. And not only at us, and worldwide. The course dollar in relation to euro has fallen to a minimum for last 7 weeks ($1,3670 for euro). In Russia the same picture: yesterday for dollar gave 31,98 roubles (recently 34). In Ukraine the cash dollar has lost for two days almost 30 copecks: purchase was 7,35—7,60, and sale — 7,65—7,87 UAH. Natsbank for May, 14th has lowered an official rate already to 7,62 UAH / $.
Our source in IMF connects strengthening UAH with rouble strengthening. However the Ukrainian experts say that fluctuations in the Russian market strongly do not influence a state of affairs in Ukraine. «The dollar at us becomes cheaper for the unique reason — to us give the second tranche of IMF», — the director of Ukrainian representation Forex4you Vladislav Plaksin considers. Bank expert Andrey Onistrat predicts falling of dollar to 7 UAH. Already within the next few days because of surplus of its offer in the market. «Such course will hold on three months for which it can becomes clear to save up how many, in particular, gold and exchange currency reserves Natsbank within summer what will be the prices for energy carriers and a steel in the world. Most likely, since autumn the dollar again will go upwards a minimum to 7,5 грн.» — it predicts. Igor Lvov agrees with it bank boards «the Finance and the credit». He considers that by the end of the year the dollar will cost UAH., and to summer of 2010 — 6,5 UAH. He considers that the second tranche will be followed also by others, and from export of receipts at us now more than expenses on import so, currency inflow will remove an agiotage.
The head of the centre «Forex Club» Nikolay Ivchenko considers that the next 3—4 months UAH will be 7,60—7,70 UAH. / $. And in the autumn when terms of payment of external obligations will approach, there can be a dollar strengthening. The financial analyst Eric Nyman is less optimistical: «in the Summer the course will be 7,50—7,80 UAH. / $. But Natsbank has already started to print UAH, on that this weight has reached the market, 2—3 months will leave. The risk of is great that by new year we will receive a course at 9-10 UAH. / $». |
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Last Updated ( Thursday, 14 May 2009 17:51 )
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